Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.105619 3.645509 4.221654 4.879134 5.605524 6.380491 7.266722
2024-10-13 2.383654 3.132827 3.992880 5.039801 6.266257 7.644543 9.297279
2024-10-20 1.839320 2.696377 3.749805 5.107526 6.778659 8.737241 11.174188
2024-10-27 1.386838 2.273489 3.439523 5.025387 7.066220 9.547026 12.731361
2024-11-03 1.125696 2.044232 3.326815 5.152360 7.588427 10.636325 14.643553
2024-11-10 0.912667 1.836339 3.203428 5.233442 8.032386 11.624136 16.444879
2024-11-17 0.699240 1.579820 2.968832 5.125019 8.198253 12.242217 17.779936
2024-11-24 0.527968 1.351070 2.737957 4.987666 8.297996 12.757646 18.978485
2024-12-01 0.412614 1.192604 2.591066 4.951394 8.522761 13.432092 20.387765
2024-12-08 0.316496 1.044323 2.436846 4.882658 8.685546 14.015022 21.677826
2024-12-15 0.277987 1.008978 2.472122 5.111570 9.289473 15.217895 23.822212
2024-12-22 0.223103 0.918750 2.393964 5.144839 9.594608 16.003758 25.409896
2024-12-29 0.199272 0.902268 2.456912 5.424325 10.296842 17.386702 27.870442
2025-01-05 0.172122 0.868442 2.481398 5.638435 10.905292 18.651181 30.195018
2025-01-12 0.139626 0.806500 2.439804 5.731781 11.324636 19.650036 32.167185
2025-01-19 0.102225 0.709742 2.308951 5.652273 11.460009 20.232099 33.560021
2025-01-26 0.084167 0.671782 2.301024 5.794860 11.956692 21.355283 35.735465
2025-02-02 0.066865 0.626292 2.268061 5.885210 12.366316 22.352622 37.742364
2025-02-09 0.045558 0.544792 2.134029 5.768516 12.421634 22.812764 38.979764
2025-02-16 0.029023 0.466630 1.991423 5.619712 12.410878 23.165735 40.061216
2025-02-23 0.019372 0.414929 1.907523 5.580508 12.583049 23.798936 41.557125
2025-03-02 0.011899 0.363149 1.811435 5.505844 12.686438 24.323143 42.896345
2025-03-09 0.010147 0.361899 1.865263 5.754860 13.371635 25.771001 45.622437